Network based systems

New York Giants 2022 – Deep Dive into Fantasy Football

New York Giants quarterback Daniel Jones. Photo credit: Matt Swensen | New York Giants

It’s 2018. The Buffalo Bills, Cleveland Browns, Arizona Cardinals and New York Jets are all desperate for quarterbacks to lead their teams. There is a raging debate over who should be selected first. At the end of the day, Mayfield Baker is selected by the Browns and the Bills make the shocking move to trade for Josh Allen, arguably the most polarizing player in the group. Years later, Allen is now unquestionably the best quarterback to come in this draft and some would even say he is one of the top three QBs in the NFL today. His success is largely thanks to former Bills offensive coordinator and now New York Giants head coach Brian Daboll.

Daboll had an interesting journey to his first coaching job, to say the least. He worked with Michigan State (under Nick Saban), New England Patriots, Cleveland Browns, Miami Dolphins, Kansas Chiefs, University of Alabama (also under Saban) and finally the Buffalo Bills. He was actually Alabama’s offensive coordinator the year they beat Georgia in overtime in the national championship, leading to Jalen hurts transfer and Tua Tagovailoait is ascend.

Without a doubt, the rise of Josh Allen was Daboll’s crowning achievement as a coach and one of the main reasons the Giants hired him. If he can live again Daniel Jones career or do the same to whoever will be his successor in the Big Apple remains to be seen, but it was the right first step to success.

Training philosophy

Daboll is a hard coach to break down philosophically, but that’s what makes him so good. He’s experienced and been exposed to so many different offensive (and defensive) patterns during his career as an assistant coach that he understands one crucial fact. The key to success is not to adapt your staff to your system, but to adapt your system to your staff.

That said, there are several things you can almost always expect from a Brian Daboll offense. The first is the pre-instantaneous movement. The reason is one of the keys to Daboll’s quarterback development: he’s not afraid to simplify the offense to help the QB. Too often coaches let their ego get in the way and insist that their own system is the path to success. Daboll isn’t afraid, for lack of a better term, of cutting back on offense to help young quarterbacks. The pre-snap movement allows a quarterback to immediately identify whether he is facing zone or man coverage from the start. Although it is a simple addition to the system, it already helps the quarterback take the first step to making it work effectively.

Another aspect that Daboll likes to include in each of his offenses, and a big reason why Josh Allen fits so well into what he ran at Buffalo, is play-action. Giving time for the quarterback to fake a backward handoff literally allows the game to grow. This gives the quarterback time to get the right read rather than depending on him to anticipate what might happen and make his throw based on his best guess. Giving young quarterbacks time to read the game after it has developed a little takes an incalculable amount of pressure off the quarterback.

The last thing Daboll likes to implement in his offenses is route crossing and meshing. These are routes that have receivers that cross the terrain and intersect very closely. It seems like a pretty simple plan, except unless your defense is very well prepared, it’s extremely easy to lose your cover and leave one of the receivers open. This is why fast receivers like Stefan Diggs are able to find such success in the Daboll system.

While it’s impossible to say definitively which system Daboll will use with the Giants, it’s especially important for him to instill these core tenants in his system. It allows young quarterbacks to develop so well with him as a coach and be key to the Giants’ future success at QB.

Who benefits?

Darius SlaytonWR

It’s reasonable to expect all of the Giants’ wide receivers to benefit from the coaching change. In Joe Judge’s offense, the highest-ranked wide receiver on the Giants fantasy roster was Kenny Golladay who finished 86e among qualified recipients. While Golladay is certainly a popular choice to be one of the best sleepers of the season, the other two receivers of Kadarius Toney and Darius Slayton are also to be monitored.

Despite earlier trade rumours, Daboll said he will work to ensure Toney is used in many ways this coming season. Slayton in the meantime is currently slated to replace Sterling Shepard as the No. 3 receiver on the Giants’ roster. Shepard tore his Achilles tendon in Week 15 last season and has not participated in any minicamp activities and is likely to start training camp on the PUP roster.

This leaves an opportunity wide open for Darius Slayton. The Giants will rely heavily on the running game, but they will inevitably fall behind in most if not all of their games in the 4e trimester. Slayton saw 84 targets and finished with eight touchdowns last year, so it’s not unreasonable to expect his stats to go up from there. This almost certainly means the new offense will lead to more opportunities for Slayton to make a name for himself as a solid bench option and maybe even a legitimate FLEX possibility.

Daniel Jones, QB

This might be the hot take king of all my new recruit articles. Jones certainly won’t cement himself as a week-and-a-week starter this season, but it’s not out of the question that he could prove to be an effective streaming option or replacement if your best QB goes down with a major injury.

Jones has many of the same strengths and complaints as Josh Allen. Good mobility and he can throw while running, but decision making and efficiency to read defenses correctly are always areas of concern. In his first full season under the Daboll system, Josh Allen had 29 total touchdowns, proving that if Jones can get his hands on this system, he can repeat similar stats to this.

Potential breakout player

Kadarius Toney, WR

Talk about a hectic offseason. Toney’s selection in the first round of the 2021 NFL Draft has raised eyebrows for some and his turbulent rookie season has only proved doubters right. It reached the point where Toney was a legit trade play approaching the project just a few months ago. Now it looks like he’s going to have at least one more season with the Giants.

Toney’s versatility provides a particularly valuable asset in Daboll’s system. As stated earlier, players who are used in its crossover routes and especially the pre-snap move generally benefit from more hits. One important stat to note with Toney is that he had a target rate of 25% per route last year which tied for 7e best in the NFL. His talent cannot be denied and if Daboll figures out how to use it properly, he could finally live up to his potential.

Toney thinks he’ll largely go undrafted in most leagues this summer, but if you’re unsure of which receiver to add to your bench in later rounds, Toney is worth a look. Draw him first as an insurance option with the expectation that he will become a WR2/3 or FLEX option as the season progresses and he learns the system.

Bold prediction

Kenny Golladay will finish in the top 10 receivers

Golladay was undoubtedly one of the most disappointing receivers, not only for the New York Giants, but for fantasy football managers around the world. After signing a whopping 4-year, $72 million deal with New York, he had just 37 catches for 521 yards and a whopping zero touchdowns.

However, it’s important to remember that the last time Golladay played a full season, he finished his season with 65 receptions for 1,190 yards and 11 touchdowns. The previous season repeated nearly identical results in every category except for touchdowns. So it’s not fair to say that Golladay’s success in Detroit was solely due to the system.

At 6’4″, 213 lbs. and only 28 years old, there is still plenty of time and physical attributes to make me a Golladay fan. While Stefon Diggs found success in Minnesota, this is the Daboll’s ability to extend that success to Buffalo who have proven they know how to use talent properly Golladay is a special talent and is undoubtedly Jones’ primary target With the Giants’ passing game likely to be extremely active in the last quarter of most of their games this season, expect Golladay to receive a large share of assists, exploding his talent in the PPR leagues.

New York Giants quarterback Daniel Jones.  Photo credit: Matt Swensen |  New York Giants
New York Giants quarterback Daniel Jones. Photo credit: Matt Swensen | New York Giants

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